# VoteTide: full race data # 2026 Midterm Elections ## What's at stake: Senate control - Senators vote on every federal law, confirm Supreme Court justices, federal judges and cabinet members, and ratify treaties. Terms last six years. - Republicans hold 53 seats. Democrats need a net gain of 4 seats for a 51-seat majority, because the Vice President breaks ties for Republicans. - If Democrats win the Senate, the President's judicial and cabinet nominees would need Democratic votes, and the President's bills could be blocked. - If Republicans keep the Senate, the President can keep confirming judges and nominees and has a partner for legislation. - Midterms are usually read as a verdict on the sitting president, and the president's party has lost House seats in most midterms since World War II. ### Alabama Senate Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/senate/alabama State: Alabama. Office: Senate. Rating: Safe R. Candidates: Everett Wess (D); Barry Moore (R). Market odds: Democrat 2%, Republican 98%. - This seat is held by Republicans. A Democratic win would be a flip, one of the 4 net gains Democrats need to reach 51 seats and take control. - A Republican hold keeps it in the column that protects the current 53-seat majority. - Senate control decides which judges and cabinet nominees are confirmed and whether the President's bills can pass. ### Alaska Senate Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/senate/alaska State: Alaska. Office: Senate. Rating: Lean D. Candidates: Mary Peltola (D); Dan Sullivan (R, incumbent). Market odds: Democrat 70%, Republican 30%. Poll average (last 1): D 46.0, R 41.0. - This seat is held by Republicans. A Democratic win would be a flip, one of the 4 net gains Democrats need to reach 51 seats and take control. - A Republican hold keeps it in the column that protects the current 53-seat majority. - Senate control decides which judges and cabinet nominees are confirmed and whether the President's bills can pass. ### Arkansas Senate Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/senate/arkansas State: Arkansas. Office: Senate. Rating: Safe R. Candidates: Hallie Shoffner (D); Tom Cotton (R, incumbent). Market odds: Democrat 3%, Republican 97%. - This seat is held by Republicans. A Democratic win would be a flip, one of the 4 net gains Democrats need to reach 51 seats and take control. - A Republican hold keeps it in the column that protects the current 53-seat majority. - Senate control decides which judges and cabinet nominees are confirmed and whether the President's bills can pass. ### Colorado Senate Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/senate/colorado State: Colorado. Office: Senate. Rating: Safe D. Candidates: John Hickenlooper (D, incumbent); Mark Baisley (R). Market odds: Democrat 99%, Republican 1%. - This seat is held by Democrats. Losing it would make the path to a majority harder: they would then need 5 flips elsewhere. - For Republicans it is a pick-up chance that would add a cushion to their majority. - Senate control decides which judges and cabinet nominees are confirmed and whether the President's bills can pass. ### Delaware Senate Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/senate/delaware State: Delaware. Office: Senate. Rating: Safe D. Candidates: Chris Coons (D, incumbent); Michael Katz (R). Market odds: Democrat 99%, Republican 1%. - This seat is held by Democrats. Losing it would make the path to a majority harder: they would then need 5 flips elsewhere. - For Republicans it is a pick-up chance that would add a cushion to their majority. - Senate control decides which judges and cabinet nominees are confirmed and whether the President's bills can pass. ### Florida Senate Special Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/senate/florida State: Florida. Office: Senate. Rating: Likely R. Candidates: Angie Nixon (D); Ashley Moody (R, incumbent). Market odds: Democrat 10%, Republican 90%. Poll average (last 5): D 44.4, R 49.6. - This seat is held by Republicans. A Democratic win would be a flip, one of the 4 net gains Democrats need to reach 51 seats and take control. - A Republican hold keeps it in the column that protects the current 53-seat majority. - Senate control decides which judges and cabinet nominees are confirmed and whether the President's bills can pass. ### Georgia Senate Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/senate/georgia State: Georgia. Office: Senate. Rating: Lean D. Candidates: Jon Ossoff (D, incumbent); Mike Collins (R). Market odds: Democrat 97%, Republican 3%. Poll average (last 5): D 53.2, R 43.8. - This seat is held by Democrats. Losing it would make the path to a majority harder: they would then need 5 flips elsewhere. - For Republicans it is a pick-up chance that would add a cushion to their majority. - Senate control decides which judges and cabinet nominees are confirmed and whether the President's bills can pass. ### Idaho Senate Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/senate/idaho State: Idaho. Office: Senate. Rating: Safe R. Candidates: Todd Achilles (I); Jim Risch (R, incumbent). Market odds: Democrat 3%, Republican 97%. - This seat is held by Republicans. A Democratic win would be a flip, one of the 4 net gains Democrats need to reach 51 seats and take control. - A Republican hold keeps it in the column that protects the current 53-seat majority. - Senate control decides which judges and cabinet nominees are confirmed and whether the President's bills can pass. ### Illinois Senate Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/senate/illinois State: Illinois. Office: Senate. Rating: Safe D. Candidates: Juliana Stratton (D); Don Tracy (R). Market odds: Democrat 98%, Republican 2%. - This seat is held by Democrats. Losing it would make the path to a majority harder: they would then need 5 flips elsewhere. - For Republicans it is a pick-up chance that would add a cushion to their majority. - Senate control decides which judges and cabinet nominees are confirmed and whether the President's bills can pass. ### Iowa Senate Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/senate/iowa State: Iowa. Office: Senate. Rating: Toss-up. Candidates: Josh Turek (D); Ashley Hinson (R). Market odds: Democrat 50%, Republican 50%. Poll average (last 5): D 48.2, R 47.4. - This seat is held by Republicans. A Democratic win would be a flip, one of the 4 net gains Democrats need to reach 51 seats and take control. - A Republican hold keeps it in the column that protects the current 53-seat majority. - Senate control decides which judges and cabinet nominees are confirmed and whether the President's bills can pass. ### Kansas Senate Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/senate/kansas State: Kansas. Office: Senate. Rating: Lean R. Candidates: Adam Hamilton (D); Roger Marshall (R, incumbent). Market odds: Democrat 63%, Republican 37%. Poll average (last 5): D 50.2, R 45.8. - This seat is held by Republicans. A Democratic win would be a flip, one of the 4 net gains Democrats need to reach 51 seats and take control. - A Republican hold keeps it in the column that protects the current 53-seat majority. - Senate control decides which judges and cabinet nominees are confirmed and whether the President's bills can pass. ### Kentucky Senate Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/senate/kentucky State: Kentucky. Office: Senate. Rating: Safe R. Candidates: Charles Booker (D); Andy Barr (R). Market odds: Democrat 3%, Republican 97%. - This seat is held by Republicans. A Democratic win would be a flip, one of the 4 net gains Democrats need to reach 51 seats and take control. - A Republican hold keeps it in the column that protects the current 53-seat majority. - Senate control decides which judges and cabinet nominees are confirmed and whether the President's bills can pass. ### Louisiana Senate Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/senate/louisiana State: Louisiana. Office: Senate. Rating: Safe R. Candidates: Jamie Davis (D); Julia Letlow (R). Market odds: Democrat 8%, Republican 92%. - This seat is held by Republicans. A Democratic win would be a flip, one of the 4 net gains Democrats need to reach 51 seats and take control. - A Republican hold keeps it in the column that protects the current 53-seat majority. - Senate control decides which judges and cabinet nominees are confirmed and whether the President's bills can pass. ### Maine Senate Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/senate/maine State: Maine. Office: Senate. Rating: Lean D. Candidates: Troy Jackson (D); Susan Collins (R, incumbent). Market odds: Democrat 71%, Republican 29%. Poll average (last 5): D 50.4, R 46.6. - This seat is held by Republicans. A Democratic win would be a flip, one of the 4 net gains Democrats need to reach 51 seats and take control. - A Republican hold keeps it in the column that protects the current 53-seat majority. - Senate control decides which judges and cabinet nominees are confirmed and whether the President's bills can pass. ### Massachusetts Senate Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/senate/massachusetts State: Massachusetts. Office: Senate. Rating: Safe D. Candidates: Ed Markey (D, incumbent); John Deaton (R). Market odds: Democrat 99%, Republican 1%. - This seat is held by Democrats. Losing it would make the path to a majority harder: they would then need 5 flips elsewhere. - For Republicans it is a pick-up chance that would add a cushion to their majority. - Senate control decides which judges and cabinet nominees are confirmed and whether the President's bills can pass. ### Michigan Senate Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/senate/michigan State: Michigan. Office: Senate. Rating: Lean D. Candidates: Abdul El-Sayed (D); Mike Rogers (R). Market odds: Democrat 79%, Republican 21%. Poll average (last 5): D 51.0, R 45.4. - This seat is held by Democrats. Losing it would make the path to a majority harder: they would then need 5 flips elsewhere. - For Republicans it is a pick-up chance that would add a cushion to their majority. - Senate control decides which judges and cabinet nominees are confirmed and whether the President's bills can pass. ### Minnesota Senate Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/senate/minnesota State: Minnesota. Office: Senate. Rating: Likely D. Candidates: Peggy Flanagan (D); Michele Tafoya (R). Market odds: Democrat 91%, Republican 9%. Poll average (last 5): D 49.0, R 43.8. - This seat is held by Democrats. Losing it would make the path to a majority harder: they would then need 5 flips elsewhere. - For Republicans it is a pick-up chance that would add a cushion to their majority. - Senate control decides which judges and cabinet nominees are confirmed and whether the President's bills can pass. ### Mississippi Senate Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/senate/mississippi State: Mississippi. Office: Senate. Rating: Likely R. Candidates: Scott Colom (D); Cindy Hyde-Smith (R, incumbent). Market odds: Democrat 12%, Republican 88%. Poll average (last 4): D 38.8, R 45.0. - This seat is held by Republicans. A Democratic win would be a flip, one of the 4 net gains Democrats need to reach 51 seats and take control. - A Republican hold keeps it in the column that protects the current 53-seat majority. - Senate control decides which judges and cabinet nominees are confirmed and whether the President's bills can pass. ### Montana Senate Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/senate/montana State: Montana. Office: Senate. Rating: Likely R. Candidates: Alani Bankhead (D); Seth Bodnar (I); Kurt Alme (R). Market odds: Democrat 5%, Republican 95%. Poll average (last 5): D 15.4, R 38.6. - This seat is held by Republicans. A Democratic win would be a flip, one of the 4 net gains Democrats need to reach 51 seats and take control. - A Republican hold keeps it in the column that protects the current 53-seat majority. - Senate control decides which judges and cabinet nominees are confirmed and whether the President's bills can pass. ### Nebraska Senate Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/senate/nebraska State: Nebraska. Office: Senate. Rating: Lean R. Candidates: Dan Osborn (I); Pete Ricketts (R, incumbent). Market odds: Democrat 16%, Republican 84%. Poll average (last 5): D 45.4, R 48.6. - This seat is held by Republicans. A Democratic win would be a flip, one of the 4 net gains Democrats need to reach 51 seats and take control. - A Republican hold keeps it in the column that protects the current 53-seat majority. - Senate control decides which judges and cabinet nominees are confirmed and whether the President's bills can pass. ### New Hampshire Senate Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/senate/new-hampshire State: New Hampshire. Office: Senate. Rating: Likely D. Candidates: Chris Pappas (D); John E. Sununu (R). Market odds: Democrat 95%, Republican 5%. Poll average (last 5): D 51.4, R 43.6. - This seat is held by Democrats. Losing it would make the path to a majority harder: they would then need 5 flips elsewhere. - For Republicans it is a pick-up chance that would add a cushion to their majority. - Senate control decides which judges and cabinet nominees are confirmed and whether the President's bills can pass. ### New Jersey Senate Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/senate/new-jersey State: New Jersey. Office: Senate. Rating: Safe D. Candidates: Cory Booker (D, incumbent); Justin Murphy (R). Market odds: Democrat 98%, Republican 2%. - This seat is held by Democrats. Losing it would make the path to a majority harder: they would then need 5 flips elsewhere. - For Republicans it is a pick-up chance that would add a cushion to their majority. - Senate control decides which judges and cabinet nominees are confirmed and whether the President's bills can pass. ### New Mexico Senate Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/senate/new-mexico State: New Mexico. Office: Senate. Rating: Safe D. Candidates: Ben Ray Luján (D, incumbent); Larry Marker (R). Market odds: Democrat 99%, Republican 1%. - This seat is held by Democrats. Losing it would make the path to a majority harder: they would then need 5 flips elsewhere. - For Republicans it is a pick-up chance that would add a cushion to their majority. - Senate control decides which judges and cabinet nominees are confirmed and whether the President's bills can pass. ### North Carolina Senate Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/senate/north-carolina State: North Carolina. Office: Senate. Rating: Lean D. Candidates: Roy Cooper (D); Michael Whatley (R). Market odds: Democrat 97%, Republican 3%. Poll average (last 5): D 53.2, R 43.4. - This seat is held by Republicans. A Democratic win would be a flip, one of the 4 net gains Democrats need to reach 51 seats and take control. - A Republican hold keeps it in the column that protects the current 53-seat majority. - Senate control decides which judges and cabinet nominees are confirmed and whether the President's bills can pass. ### Ohio Senate Special Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/senate/ohio State: Ohio. Office: Senate. Rating: Lean D. Candidates: Sherrod Brown (D); Jon Husted (R, incumbent). Market odds: Democrat 71%, Republican 29%. Poll average (last 5): D 47.8, R 45.4. - This seat is held by Republicans. A Democratic win would be a flip, one of the 4 net gains Democrats need to reach 51 seats and take control. - A Republican hold keeps it in the column that protects the current 53-seat majority. - Senate control decides which judges and cabinet nominees are confirmed and whether the President's bills can pass. ### Oklahoma Senate Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/senate/oklahoma State: Oklahoma. Office: Senate. Rating: Safe R. Candidates: Jasmine Thomas (D); Kevin Hern (R). Market odds: Democrat 2%, Republican 98%. - This seat is held by Republicans. A Democratic win would be a flip, one of the 4 net gains Democrats need to reach 51 seats and take control. - A Republican hold keeps it in the column that protects the current 53-seat majority. - Senate control decides which judges and cabinet nominees are confirmed and whether the President's bills can pass. ### Oregon Senate Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/senate/oregon State: Oregon. Office: Senate. Rating: Safe D. Candidates: Jeff Merkley (D, incumbent); David Brock Smith (R). Market odds: Democrat 99%, Republican 1%. - This seat is held by Democrats. Losing it would make the path to a majority harder: they would then need 5 flips elsewhere. - For Republicans it is a pick-up chance that would add a cushion to their majority. - Senate control decides which judges and cabinet nominees are confirmed and whether the President's bills can pass. ### Rhode Island Senate Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/senate/rhode-island State: Rhode Island. Office: Senate. Rating: Safe D. Candidates: Jack Reed (D, incumbent); Raymond McKay (R). Market odds: Democrat 99%, Republican 1%. - This seat is held by Democrats. Losing it would make the path to a majority harder: they would then need 5 flips elsewhere. - For Republicans it is a pick-up chance that would add a cushion to their majority. - Senate control decides which judges and cabinet nominees are confirmed and whether the President's bills can pass. ### South Carolina Senate Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/senate/south-carolina State: South Carolina. Office: Senate. Rating: Safe R. Candidates: Annie Andrews (D); Darline Graham (R, incumbent). Market odds: Democrat 30%, Republican 70%. - This seat is held by Republicans. A Democratic win would be a flip, one of the 4 net gains Democrats need to reach 51 seats and take control. - A Republican hold keeps it in the column that protects the current 53-seat majority. - Senate control decides which judges and cabinet nominees are confirmed and whether the President's bills can pass. ### South Dakota Senate Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/senate/south-dakota State: South Dakota. Office: Senate. Rating: Safe R. Candidates: Brian Bengs (I); Mike Rounds (R, incumbent). Market odds: Democrat 6%, Republican 94%. - This seat is held by Republicans. A Democratic win would be a flip, one of the 4 net gains Democrats need to reach 51 seats and take control. - A Republican hold keeps it in the column that protects the current 53-seat majority. - Senate control decides which judges and cabinet nominees are confirmed and whether the President's bills can pass. ### Tennessee Senate Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/senate/tennessee State: Tennessee. Office: Senate. Rating: Safe R. Candidates: Marquita Bradshaw (D); Bill Hagerty (R, incumbent). Market odds: Democrat 2%, Republican 98%. - This seat is held by Republicans. A Democratic win would be a flip, one of the 4 net gains Democrats need to reach 51 seats and take control. - A Republican hold keeps it in the column that protects the current 53-seat majority. - Senate control decides which judges and cabinet nominees are confirmed and whether the President's bills can pass. ### Texas Senate Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/senate/texas State: Texas. Office: Senate. Rating: Toss-up. Candidates: James Talarico (D); Ken Paxton (R). Market odds: Democrat 71%, Republican 29%. Poll average (last 5): D 49.6, R 46.0. - This seat is held by Republicans. A Democratic win would be a flip, one of the 4 net gains Democrats need to reach 51 seats and take control. - A Republican hold keeps it in the column that protects the current 53-seat majority. - Senate control decides which judges and cabinet nominees are confirmed and whether the President's bills can pass. ### Virginia Senate Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/senate/virginia State: Virginia. Office: Senate. Rating: Safe D. Candidates: Mark Warner (D, incumbent); Bert Mizusawa (R). Market odds: Democrat 99%, Republican 1%. - This seat is held by Democrats. Losing it would make the path to a majority harder: they would then need 5 flips elsewhere. - For Republicans it is a pick-up chance that would add a cushion to their majority. - Senate control decides which judges and cabinet nominees are confirmed and whether the President's bills can pass. ### West Virginia Senate Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/senate/west-virginia State: West Virginia. Office: Senate. Rating: Safe R. Candidates: Rachel Fetty Anderson (D); Shelley Moore Capito (R, incumbent). Market odds: Democrat 1%, Republican 99%. - This seat is held by Republicans. A Democratic win would be a flip, one of the 4 net gains Democrats need to reach 51 seats and take control. - A Republican hold keeps it in the column that protects the current 53-seat majority. - Senate control decides which judges and cabinet nominees are confirmed and whether the President's bills can pass. ### Wyoming Senate Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/senate/wyoming State: Wyoming. Office: Senate. Rating: Safe R. Candidates: James Byrd (D); Harriet Hageman (R). Market odds: Democrat 2%, Republican 98%. - This seat is held by Republicans. A Democratic win would be a flip, one of the 4 net gains Democrats need to reach 51 seats and take control. - A Republican hold keeps it in the column that protects the current 53-seat majority. - Senate control decides which judges and cabinet nominees are confirmed and whether the President's bills can pass. ## What's at stake: House control - House members write the federal budget, start every tax bill and hold the power to impeach. Terms last two years. - If Democrats win the House, they control the federal budget process in that chamber, can launch investigations and subpoena officials, and can block the President's legislation. - If Republicans keep the House, along with the Senate, the President keeps unified control of Congress for the final two years of the term. - Midterms are usually read as a verdict on the sitting president, and the president's party has lost House seats in most midterms since World War II. ## What's at stake: the governors' races - The governor signs or vetoes state laws, writes the state budget, runs state agencies, appoints officials and judges in many states, and in many states shapes how district maps are drawn. - Governors elected now will be in office for the 2028 presidential election and, in many states, for decisions about how votes are counted and certified. - Many will also shape the next round of redistricting after the 2030 census. - Midterms are usually read as a verdict on the sitting president, and the president's party has lost House seats in most midterms since World War II. ### Arizona Governor Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/governor/arizona State: Arizona. Office: Governor. Rating: Likely D. Candidates: Katie Hobbs (D, incumbent); Andy Biggs (R). Market odds: Democrat 93%, Republican 7%. Poll average (last 5): D 50.2, R 43.2. - Governors don't vote in Congress, but they run elections, carry out federal programs like Medicaid, and often lead their party nationally. - A Republican win would be a flip from Democratic control. ### California Governor Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/governor/california State: California. Office: Governor. Rating: Safe D. Candidates: Xavier Becerra (D); Steve Hilton (R). Market odds: Democrat 98%, Republican 2%. - Governors don't vote in Congress, but they run elections, carry out federal programs like Medicaid, and often lead their party nationally. - A Republican win would be a flip from Democratic control. ### Colorado Governor Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/governor/colorado State: Colorado. Office: Governor. Rating: Safe D. Candidates: Phil Weiser (D); Victor Marx (R). Market odds: Democrat 98%, Republican 2%. - Governors don't vote in Congress, but they run elections, carry out federal programs like Medicaid, and often lead their party nationally. - A Republican win would be a flip from Democratic control. ### Connecticut Governor Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/governor/connecticut State: Connecticut. Office: Governor. Rating: Safe D. Candidates: Ned Lamont (D, incumbent); Ryan Fazio (R). Market odds: Democrat 97%, Republican 3%. - Governors don't vote in Congress, but they run elections, carry out federal programs like Medicaid, and often lead their party nationally. - A Republican win would be a flip from Democratic control. ### Hawaii Governor Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/governor/hawaii State: Hawaii. Office: Governor. Rating: Safe D. Candidates: Josh Green (D, incumbent); Gary Cordery (R). Market odds: Democrat 98%, Republican 2%. - Governors don't vote in Congress, but they run elections, carry out federal programs like Medicaid, and often lead their party nationally. - A Republican win would be a flip from Democratic control. ### Illinois Governor Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/governor/illinois State: Illinois. Office: Governor. Rating: Safe D. Candidates: J.B. Pritzker (D, incumbent); Darren Bailey (R). Market odds: Democrat 98%, Republican 2%. - Governors don't vote in Congress, but they run elections, carry out federal programs like Medicaid, and often lead their party nationally. - A Republican win would be a flip from Democratic control. ### Kansas Governor Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/governor/kansas State: Kansas. Office: Governor. Rating: Lean R. Candidates: Cindy Holscher (D); Ty Masterson (R). Market odds: Democrat 35%, Republican 65%. Poll average (last 5): D 48.8, R 48.8. - Governors don't vote in Congress, but they run elections, carry out federal programs like Medicaid, and often lead their party nationally. - A Republican win would be a flip from Democratic control. ### Maine Governor Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/governor/maine State: Maine. Office: Governor. Rating: Lean D. Candidates: Hannah Pingree (D); Bobby Charles (R). Market odds: Democrat 97%, Republican 3%. Poll average (last 5): D 50.6, R 40.2. - Governors don't vote in Congress, but they run elections, carry out federal programs like Medicaid, and often lead their party nationally. - A Republican win would be a flip from Democratic control. ### Maryland Governor Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/governor/maryland State: Maryland. Office: Governor. Rating: Safe D. Candidates: Wes Moore (D, incumbent); Dan Cox (R). Market odds: Democrat 99%, Republican 1%. - Governors don't vote in Congress, but they run elections, carry out federal programs like Medicaid, and often lead their party nationally. - A Republican win would be a flip from Democratic control. ### Massachusetts Governor Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/governor/massachusetts State: Massachusetts. Office: Governor. Rating: Safe D. Candidates: Maura Healey (D, incumbent); Michael Minogue (R). Market odds: Democrat 97%, Republican 3%. - Governors don't vote in Congress, but they run elections, carry out federal programs like Medicaid, and often lead their party nationally. - A Republican win would be a flip from Democratic control. ### Michigan Governor Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/governor/michigan State: Michigan. Office: Governor. Rating: Lean D. Candidates: Jocelyn Benson (D); John James (R). Market odds: Democrat 94%, Republican 6%. Poll average (last 5): D 51.6, R 42.4. - Governors don't vote in Congress, but they run elections, carry out federal programs like Medicaid, and often lead their party nationally. - A Republican win would be a flip from Democratic control. ### Minnesota Governor Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/governor/minnesota State: Minnesota. Office: Governor. Rating: Safe D. Candidates: Amy Klobuchar (D); Lisa Demuth (R). Market odds: Democrat 97%, Republican 3%. - Governors don't vote in Congress, but they run elections, carry out federal programs like Medicaid, and often lead their party nationally. - A Republican win would be a flip from Democratic control. ### New Mexico Governor Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/governor/new-mexico State: New Mexico. Office: Governor. Rating: Likely D. Candidates: Deb Haaland (D); Greg Hull (R). Market odds: Democrat 96%, Republican 4%. Poll average (last 5): D 47.4, R 38.8. - Governors don't vote in Congress, but they run elections, carry out federal programs like Medicaid, and often lead their party nationally. - A Republican win would be a flip from Democratic control. ### New York Governor Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/governor/new-york State: New York. Office: Governor. Rating: Likely D. Candidates: Kathy Hochul (D, incumbent); Bruce Blakeman (R). Market odds: Democrat 96%, Republican 4%. Poll average (last 5): D 54.6, R 41.4. - Governors don't vote in Congress, but they run elections, carry out federal programs like Medicaid, and often lead their party nationally. - A Republican win would be a flip from Democratic control. ### Oregon Governor Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/governor/oregon State: Oregon. Office: Governor. Rating: Likely D. Candidates: Tina Kotek (D, incumbent); Christine Drazan (R). Market odds: Democrat 84%, Republican 16%. Poll average (last 5): D 45.0, R 45.2. - Governors don't vote in Congress, but they run elections, carry out federal programs like Medicaid, and often lead their party nationally. - A Republican win would be a flip from Democratic control. ### Pennsylvania Governor Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/governor/pennsylvania State: Pennsylvania. Office: Governor. Rating: Likely D. Candidates: Josh Shapiro (D, incumbent); Stacy Garrity (R). Market odds: Democrat 99%, Republican 1%. Poll average (last 5): D 57.9, R 32.9. - Governors don't vote in Congress, but they run elections, carry out federal programs like Medicaid, and often lead their party nationally. - A Republican win would be a flip from Democratic control. ### Rhode Island Governor Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/governor/rhode-island State: Rhode Island. Office: Governor. Rating: Safe D. Candidates: Helena Foulkes (D); Ashley Kalus (R). Market odds: Democrat 99%, Republican 1%. - Governors don't vote in Congress, but they run elections, carry out federal programs like Medicaid, and often lead their party nationally. - A Republican win would be a flip from Democratic control. ### Wisconsin Governor Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/governor/wisconsin State: Wisconsin. Office: Governor. Rating: Lean D. Candidates: David Crowley (D); Tom Tiffany (R). Market odds: Democrat 86%, Republican 14%. Poll average (last 5): D 48.8, R 44.0. - Governors don't vote in Congress, but they run elections, carry out federal programs like Medicaid, and often lead their party nationally. - A Republican win would be a flip from Democratic control. ### Alaska Governor Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/governor/alaska State: Alaska. Office: Governor. Rating: Toss-up. Candidates: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D); Bernadette Wilson (R). Market odds: Democrat 90%, Republican 10%. Poll average (last 5): D 10.6, R 12.6. - Governors don't vote in Congress, but they run elections, carry out federal programs like Medicaid, and often lead their party nationally. - A Democratic win would be a flip from Republican control. ### Alabama Governor Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/governor/alabama State: Alabama. Office: Governor. Rating: Safe R. Candidates: Doug Jones (D); Tommy Tuberville (R). Market odds: Democrat 7%, Republican 93%. - Governors don't vote in Congress, but they run elections, carry out federal programs like Medicaid, and often lead their party nationally. - A Democratic win would be a flip from Republican control. ### Arkansas Governor Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/governor/arkansas State: Arkansas. Office: Governor. Rating: Safe R. Candidates: Fredrick Love (D); Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R, incumbent). Market odds: Democrat 2%, Republican 98%. - Governors don't vote in Congress, but they run elections, carry out federal programs like Medicaid, and often lead their party nationally. - A Democratic win would be a flip from Republican control. ### Florida Governor Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/governor/florida State: Florida. Office: Governor. Rating: Likely R. Candidates: David Jolly (D); Byron Donalds (R). Market odds: Democrat 34%, Republican 66%. Poll average (last 5): D 45.4, R 49.0. - Governors don't vote in Congress, but they run elections, carry out federal programs like Medicaid, and often lead their party nationally. - A Democratic win would be a flip from Republican control. ### Georgia Governor Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/governor/georgia State: Georgia. Office: Governor. Rating: Toss-up. Candidates: Keisha Lance Bottoms (D); Rick Jackson (R). Market odds: Democrat 67%, Republican 33%. Poll average (last 5): D 48.5, R 48.1. - Governors don't vote in Congress, but they run elections, carry out federal programs like Medicaid, and often lead their party nationally. - A Democratic win would be a flip from Republican control. ### Idaho Governor Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/governor/idaho State: Idaho. Office: Governor. Rating: Safe R. Candidates: Terri Pickens (D); Brad Little (R, incumbent). Market odds: Democrat 2%, Republican 98%. - Governors don't vote in Congress, but they run elections, carry out federal programs like Medicaid, and often lead their party nationally. - A Democratic win would be a flip from Republican control. ### Iowa Governor Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/governor/iowa State: Iowa. Office: Governor. Rating: Toss-up. Candidates: Rob Sand (D); Zach Lahn (R). Market odds: Democrat 88%, Republican 12%. Poll average (last 5): D 51.6, R 44.6. - Governors don't vote in Congress, but they run elections, carry out federal programs like Medicaid, and often lead their party nationally. - A Democratic win would be a flip from Republican control. ### Nebraska Governor Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/governor/nebraska State: Nebraska. Office: Governor. Rating: Likely R. Candidates: Lynne Walz (D); Jim Pillen (R, incumbent). Market odds: Democrat 11%, Republican 89%. Poll average (last 5): D 42.2, R 47.4. - Governors don't vote in Congress, but they run elections, carry out federal programs like Medicaid, and often lead their party nationally. - A Democratic win would be a flip from Republican control. ### New Hampshire Governor Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/governor/new-hampshire State: New Hampshire. Office: Governor. Rating: Lean R. Candidates: Cinde Warmington (D); Kelly Ayotte (R, incumbent). Market odds: Democrat 15%, Republican 85%. Poll average (last 5): D 43.8, R 50.4. - Governors don't vote in Congress, but they run elections, carry out federal programs like Medicaid, and often lead their party nationally. - A Democratic win would be a flip from Republican control. ### Nevada Governor Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/governor/nevada State: Nevada. Office: Governor. Rating: Toss-up. Candidates: Aaron Ford (D); Joe Lombardo (R, incumbent). Market odds: Democrat 76%, Republican 24%. Poll average (last 5): D 46.2, R 45.2. - Governors don't vote in Congress, but they run elections, carry out federal programs like Medicaid, and often lead their party nationally. - A Democratic win would be a flip from Republican control. ### Ohio Governor Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/governor/ohio State: Ohio. Office: Governor. Rating: Lean R. Candidates: Amy Acton (D); Vivek Ramaswamy (R). Market odds: Democrat 83%, Republican 18%. Poll average (last 5): D 49.6, R 44.2. - Governors don't vote in Congress, but they run elections, carry out federal programs like Medicaid, and often lead their party nationally. - A Democratic win would be a flip from Republican control. ### Oklahoma Governor Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/governor/oklahoma State: Oklahoma. Office: Governor. Rating: Safe R. Candidates: Cyndi Munson (D); Mike Mazzei (R). Market odds: Democrat 10%, Republican 90%. - Governors don't vote in Congress, but they run elections, carry out federal programs like Medicaid, and often lead their party nationally. - A Democratic win would be a flip from Republican control. ### South Carolina Governor Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/governor/south-carolina State: South Carolina. Office: Governor. Rating: Safe R. Candidates: Jermaine Johnson (D); Alan Wilson (R). Market odds: Democrat 4%, Republican 96%. - Governors don't vote in Congress, but they run elections, carry out federal programs like Medicaid, and often lead their party nationally. - A Democratic win would be a flip from Republican control. ### South Dakota Governor Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/governor/south-dakota State: South Dakota. Office: Governor. Rating: Safe R. Candidates: Dan Ahlers (D); Larry Rhoden (R, incumbent). Market odds: Democrat 2%, Republican 98%. - Governors don't vote in Congress, but they run elections, carry out federal programs like Medicaid, and often lead their party nationally. - A Democratic win would be a flip from Republican control. ### Tennessee Governor Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/governor/tennessee State: Tennessee. Office: Governor. Rating: Safe R. Candidates: Jerri Green (D); Marsha Blackburn (R). Market odds: Democrat 3%, Republican 97%. - Governors don't vote in Congress, but they run elections, carry out federal programs like Medicaid, and often lead their party nationally. - A Democratic win would be a flip from Republican control. ### Texas Governor Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/governor/texas State: Texas. Office: Governor. Rating: Likely R. Candidates: Gina Hinojosa (D); Greg Abbott (R, incumbent). Market odds: Democrat 35%, Republican 65%. Poll average (last 5): D 47.4, R 48.0. - Governors don't vote in Congress, but they run elections, carry out federal programs like Medicaid, and often lead their party nationally. - A Democratic win would be a flip from Republican control. ### Vermont Governor Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/governor/vermont State: Vermont. Office: Governor. Rating: Likely R. Candidates: Amanda Janoo (D); Phil Scott (R, incumbent). Market odds: Democrat 32%, Republican 68%. Poll average (last 5): D 44.2, R 44.6. - Governors don't vote in Congress, but they run elections, carry out federal programs like Medicaid, and often lead their party nationally. - A Democratic win would be a flip from Republican control. ### Wyoming Governor Election 2026 URL: https://votetide.com/2026/governor/wyoming State: Wyoming. Office: Governor. Rating: Safe R. Candidates: Ken Casner (D); Eric Barlow (R). Market odds: Democrat 1%, Republican 99%. - Governors don't vote in Congress, but they run elections, carry out federal programs like Medicaid, and often lead their party nationally. - A Democratic win would be a flip from Republican control. # 2028 Presidential Election ## What's at stake: the presidency - The president leads the executive branch, signs or vetoes laws, commands the military, nominates federal judges and sets foreign policy. - The winner needs 270 of 538 electoral votes. Most outcomes hinge on a handful of swing states. ### Alabama Presidential Election 2028 URL: https://votetide.com/2028/president/alabama State: Alabama. Office: President. Rating: Safe R. Candidates: Democratic nominee (D); Republican nominee (R). - Alabama has 9 electoral votes. Trump won it by 30.5 points in 2024. - It has not been close recently, so a flip here would signal a broad national shift. ### Alaska Presidential Election 2028 URL: https://votetide.com/2028/president/alaska State: Alaska. Office: President. Rating: Safe R. Candidates: Democratic nominee (D); Republican nominee (R). - Alaska has 3 electoral votes. Trump won it by 13.1 points in 2024. - It has not been close recently, so a flip here would signal a broad national shift. ### Arizona Presidential Election 2028 URL: https://votetide.com/2028/president/arizona State: Arizona. Office: President. Rating: Lean R. Candidates: Democratic nominee (D); Republican nominee (R). - Arizona has 11 electoral votes. Trump won it by 5.5 points in 2024. - It has not been close recently, so a flip here would signal a broad national shift. ### Arkansas Presidential Election 2028 URL: https://votetide.com/2028/president/arkansas State: Arkansas. Office: President. Rating: Safe R. Candidates: Democratic nominee (D); Republican nominee (R). - Arkansas has 6 electoral votes. Trump won it by 30.6 points in 2024. - It has not been close recently, so a flip here would signal a broad national shift. ### California Presidential Election 2028 URL: https://votetide.com/2028/president/california State: California. Office: President. Rating: Safe D. Candidates: Democratic nominee (D); Republican nominee (R). - California has 54 electoral votes. Harris won it by 20.1 points in 2024. - It has not been close recently, so a flip here would signal a broad national shift. ### Colorado Presidential Election 2028 URL: https://votetide.com/2028/president/colorado State: Colorado. Office: President. Rating: Likely D. Candidates: Democratic nominee (D); Republican nominee (R). - Colorado has 10 electoral votes. Harris won it by 11.0 points in 2024. - It has not been close recently, so a flip here would signal a broad national shift. ### Connecticut Presidential Election 2028 URL: https://votetide.com/2028/president/connecticut State: Connecticut. Office: President. Rating: Safe D. Candidates: Democratic nominee (D); Republican nominee (R). - Connecticut has 7 electoral votes. Harris won it by 14.5 points in 2024. - It has not been close recently, so a flip here would signal a broad national shift. ### Delaware Presidential Election 2028 URL: https://votetide.com/2028/president/delaware State: Delaware. Office: President. Rating: Safe D. Candidates: Democratic nominee (D); Republican nominee (R). - Delaware has 3 electoral votes. Harris won it by 14.7 points in 2024. - It has not been close recently, so a flip here would signal a broad national shift. ### District of Columbia Presidential Election 2028 URL: https://votetide.com/2028/president/district-of-columbia State: District of Columbia. Office: President. Rating: Safe D. Candidates: Democratic nominee (D); Republican nominee (R). - District of Columbia has 3 electoral votes. Harris won it by 83.0 points in 2024. - It has not been close recently, so a flip here would signal a broad national shift. ### Florida Presidential Election 2028 URL: https://votetide.com/2028/president/florida State: Florida. Office: President. Rating: Safe R. Candidates: Democratic nominee (D); Republican nominee (R). - Florida has 30 electoral votes. Trump won it by 13.1 points in 2024. - It has not been close recently, so a flip here would signal a broad national shift. ### Georgia Presidential Election 2028 URL: https://votetide.com/2028/president/georgia State: Georgia. Office: President. Rating: Lean R. Candidates: Democratic nominee (D); Republican nominee (R). - Georgia has 16 electoral votes. Trump won it by 2.2 points in 2024. - It is a swing state: both campaigns need it on most paths to 270. ### Hawaii Presidential Election 2028 URL: https://votetide.com/2028/president/hawaii State: Hawaii. Office: President. Rating: Safe D. Candidates: Democratic nominee (D); Republican nominee (R). - Hawaii has 4 electoral votes. Harris won it by 23.1 points in 2024. - It has not been close recently, so a flip here would signal a broad national shift. ### Idaho Presidential Election 2028 URL: https://votetide.com/2028/president/idaho State: Idaho. Office: President. Rating: Safe R. Candidates: Democratic nominee (D); Republican nominee (R). - Idaho has 4 electoral votes. Trump won it by 36.5 points in 2024. - It has not been close recently, so a flip here would signal a broad national shift. ### Illinois Presidential Election 2028 URL: https://votetide.com/2028/president/illinois State: Illinois. Office: President. Rating: Likely D. Candidates: Democratic nominee (D); Republican nominee (R). - Illinois has 19 electoral votes. Harris won it by 10.9 points in 2024. - It has not been close recently, so a flip here would signal a broad national shift. ### Indiana Presidential Election 2028 URL: https://votetide.com/2028/president/indiana State: Indiana. Office: President. Rating: Safe R. Candidates: Democratic nominee (D); Republican nominee (R). - Indiana has 11 electoral votes. Trump won it by 19.0 points in 2024. - It has not been close recently, so a flip here would signal a broad national shift. ### Iowa Presidential Election 2028 URL: https://votetide.com/2028/president/iowa State: Iowa. Office: President. Rating: Safe R. Candidates: Democratic nominee (D); Republican nominee (R). - Iowa has 6 electoral votes. Trump won it by 13.2 points in 2024. - It has not been close recently, so a flip here would signal a broad national shift. ### Kansas Presidential Election 2028 URL: https://votetide.com/2028/president/kansas State: Kansas. Office: President. Rating: Safe R. Candidates: Democratic nominee (D); Republican nominee (R). - Kansas has 6 electoral votes. Trump won it by 16.1 points in 2024. - It has not been close recently, so a flip here would signal a broad national shift. ### Kentucky Presidential Election 2028 URL: https://votetide.com/2028/president/kentucky State: Kentucky. Office: President. Rating: Safe R. Candidates: Democratic nominee (D); Republican nominee (R). - Kentucky has 8 electoral votes. Trump won it by 30.5 points in 2024. - It has not been close recently, so a flip here would signal a broad national shift. ### Louisiana Presidential Election 2028 URL: https://votetide.com/2028/president/louisiana State: Louisiana. Office: President. Rating: Safe R. Candidates: Democratic nominee (D); Republican nominee (R). - Louisiana has 8 electoral votes. Trump won it by 22.0 points in 2024. - It has not been close recently, so a flip here would signal a broad national shift. ### Maine Presidential Election 2028 URL: https://votetide.com/2028/president/maine State: Maine. Office: President. Rating: Likely D. Candidates: Democratic nominee (D); Republican nominee (R). - Maine has 4 electoral votes. Harris won it by 6.9 points in 2024. - It has not been close recently, so a flip here would signal a broad national shift. ### Maryland Presidential Election 2028 URL: https://votetide.com/2028/president/maryland State: Maryland. Office: President. Rating: Safe D. Candidates: Democratic nominee (D); Republican nominee (R). - Maryland has 10 electoral votes. Harris won it by 28.5 points in 2024. - It has not been close recently, so a flip here would signal a broad national shift. ### Massachusetts Presidential Election 2028 URL: https://votetide.com/2028/president/massachusetts State: Massachusetts. Office: President. Rating: Safe D. Candidates: Democratic nominee (D); Republican nominee (R). - Massachusetts has 11 electoral votes. Harris won it by 25.2 points in 2024. - It has not been close recently, so a flip here would signal a broad national shift. ### Michigan Presidential Election 2028 URL: https://votetide.com/2028/president/michigan State: Michigan. Office: President. Rating: Toss-up. Candidates: Democratic nominee (D); Republican nominee (R). - Michigan has 15 electoral votes. Trump won it by 1.4 points in 2024. - It is a swing state: both campaigns need it on most paths to 270. ### Minnesota Presidential Election 2028 URL: https://votetide.com/2028/president/minnesota State: Minnesota. Office: President. Rating: Lean D. Candidates: Democratic nominee (D); Republican nominee (R). - Minnesota has 10 electoral votes. Harris won it by 4.2 points in 2024. - It is a swing state: both campaigns need it on most paths to 270. ### Mississippi Presidential Election 2028 URL: https://votetide.com/2028/president/mississippi State: Mississippi. Office: President. Rating: Safe R. Candidates: Democratic nominee (D); Republican nominee (R). - Mississippi has 6 electoral votes. Trump won it by 22.9 points in 2024. - It has not been close recently, so a flip here would signal a broad national shift. ### Missouri Presidential Election 2028 URL: https://votetide.com/2028/president/missouri State: Missouri. Office: President. Rating: Safe R. Candidates: Democratic nominee (D); Republican nominee (R). - Missouri has 10 electoral votes. Trump won it by 18.4 points in 2024. - It has not been close recently, so a flip here would signal a broad national shift. ### Montana Presidential Election 2028 URL: https://votetide.com/2028/president/montana State: Montana. Office: President. Rating: Safe R. Candidates: Democratic nominee (D); Republican nominee (R). - Montana has 4 electoral votes. Trump won it by 19.9 points in 2024. - It has not been close recently, so a flip here would signal a broad national shift. ### Nebraska Presidential Election 2028 URL: https://votetide.com/2028/president/nebraska State: Nebraska. Office: President. Rating: Safe R. Candidates: Democratic nominee (D); Republican nominee (R). - Nebraska has 5 electoral votes. Trump won it by 20.5 points in 2024. - It has not been close recently, so a flip here would signal a broad national shift. ### Nevada Presidential Election 2028 URL: https://votetide.com/2028/president/nevada State: Nevada. Office: President. Rating: Lean R. Candidates: Democratic nominee (D); Republican nominee (R). - Nevada has 6 electoral votes. Trump won it by 3.1 points in 2024. - It is a swing state: both campaigns need it on most paths to 270. ### New Hampshire Presidential Election 2028 URL: https://votetide.com/2028/president/new-hampshire State: New Hampshire. Office: President. Rating: Lean D. Candidates: Democratic nominee (D); Republican nominee (R). - New Hampshire has 4 electoral votes. Harris won it by 2.8 points in 2024. - It is a swing state: both campaigns need it on most paths to 270. ### New Jersey Presidential Election 2028 URL: https://votetide.com/2028/president/new-jersey State: New Jersey. Office: President. Rating: Lean D. Candidates: Democratic nominee (D); Republican nominee (R). - New Jersey has 14 electoral votes. Harris won it by 5.9 points in 2024. - It has not been close recently, so a flip here would signal a broad national shift. ### New Mexico Presidential Election 2028 URL: https://votetide.com/2028/president/new-mexico State: New Mexico. Office: President. Rating: Likely D. Candidates: Democratic nominee (D); Republican nominee (R). - New Mexico has 5 electoral votes. Harris won it by 6.0 points in 2024. - It has not been close recently, so a flip here would signal a broad national shift. ### New York Presidential Election 2028 URL: https://votetide.com/2028/president/new-york State: New York. Office: President. Rating: Safe D. Candidates: Democratic nominee (D); Republican nominee (R). - New York has 28 electoral votes. Harris won it by 12.6 points in 2024. - It has not been close recently, so a flip here would signal a broad national shift. ### North Carolina Presidential Election 2028 URL: https://votetide.com/2028/president/north-carolina State: North Carolina. Office: President. Rating: Lean R. Candidates: Democratic nominee (D); Republican nominee (R). - North Carolina has 16 electoral votes. Trump won it by 3.2 points in 2024. - It is a swing state: both campaigns need it on most paths to 270. ### North Dakota Presidential Election 2028 URL: https://votetide.com/2028/president/north-dakota State: North Dakota. Office: President. Rating: Safe R. Candidates: Democratic nominee (D); Republican nominee (R). - North Dakota has 3 electoral votes. Trump won it by 36.5 points in 2024. - It has not been close recently, so a flip here would signal a broad national shift. ### Ohio Presidential Election 2028 URL: https://votetide.com/2028/president/ohio State: Ohio. Office: President. Rating: Likely R. Candidates: Democratic nominee (D); Republican nominee (R). - Ohio has 17 electoral votes. Trump won it by 11.2 points in 2024. - It has not been close recently, so a flip here would signal a broad national shift. ### Oklahoma Presidential Election 2028 URL: https://votetide.com/2028/president/oklahoma State: Oklahoma. Office: President. Rating: Safe R. Candidates: Democratic nominee (D); Republican nominee (R). - Oklahoma has 7 electoral votes. Trump won it by 34.3 points in 2024. - It has not been close recently, so a flip here would signal a broad national shift. ### Oregon Presidential Election 2028 URL: https://votetide.com/2028/president/oregon State: Oregon. Office: President. Rating: Safe D. Candidates: Democratic nominee (D); Republican nominee (R). - Oregon has 8 electoral votes. Harris won it by 14.3 points in 2024. - It has not been close recently, so a flip here would signal a broad national shift. ### Pennsylvania Presidential Election 2028 URL: https://votetide.com/2028/president/pennsylvania State: Pennsylvania. Office: President. Rating: Toss-up. Candidates: Democratic nominee (D); Republican nominee (R). - Pennsylvania has 19 electoral votes. Trump won it by 1.7 points in 2024. - It is a swing state: both campaigns need it on most paths to 270. ### Rhode Island Presidential Election 2028 URL: https://votetide.com/2028/president/rhode-island State: Rhode Island. Office: President. Rating: Safe D. Candidates: Democratic nominee (D); Republican nominee (R). - Rhode Island has 4 electoral votes. Harris won it by 13.8 points in 2024. - It has not been close recently, so a flip here would signal a broad national shift. ### South Carolina Presidential Election 2028 URL: https://votetide.com/2028/president/south-carolina State: South Carolina. Office: President. Rating: Safe R. Candidates: Democratic nominee (D); Republican nominee (R). - South Carolina has 9 electoral votes. Trump won it by 17.8 points in 2024. - It has not been close recently, so a flip here would signal a broad national shift. ### South Dakota Presidential Election 2028 URL: https://votetide.com/2028/president/south-dakota State: South Dakota. Office: President. Rating: Safe R. Candidates: Democratic nominee (D); Republican nominee (R). - South Dakota has 3 electoral votes. Trump won it by 29.2 points in 2024. - It has not been close recently, so a flip here would signal a broad national shift. ### Tennessee Presidential Election 2028 URL: https://votetide.com/2028/president/tennessee State: Tennessee. Office: President. Rating: Safe R. Candidates: Democratic nominee (D); Republican nominee (R). - Tennessee has 11 electoral votes. Trump won it by 29.7 points in 2024. - It has not been close recently, so a flip here would signal a broad national shift. ### Texas Presidential Election 2028 URL: https://votetide.com/2028/president/texas State: Texas. Office: President. Rating: Safe R. Candidates: Democratic nominee (D); Republican nominee (R). - Texas has 40 electoral votes. Trump won it by 13.7 points in 2024. - It has not been close recently, so a flip here would signal a broad national shift. ### Utah Presidential Election 2028 URL: https://votetide.com/2028/president/utah State: Utah. Office: President. Rating: Safe R. Candidates: Democratic nominee (D); Republican nominee (R). - Utah has 6 electoral votes. Trump won it by 21.6 points in 2024. - It has not been close recently, so a flip here would signal a broad national shift. ### Vermont Presidential Election 2028 URL: https://votetide.com/2028/president/vermont State: Vermont. Office: President. Rating: Safe D. Candidates: Democratic nominee (D); Republican nominee (R). - Vermont has 3 electoral votes. Harris won it by 31.5 points in 2024. - It has not been close recently, so a flip here would signal a broad national shift. ### Virginia Presidential Election 2028 URL: https://votetide.com/2028/president/virginia State: Virginia. Office: President. Rating: Lean D. Candidates: Democratic nominee (D); Republican nominee (R). - Virginia has 13 electoral votes. Harris won it by 5.8 points in 2024. - It has not been close recently, so a flip here would signal a broad national shift. ### Washington Presidential Election 2028 URL: https://votetide.com/2028/president/washington State: Washington. Office: President. Rating: Safe D. Candidates: Democratic nominee (D); Republican nominee (R). - Washington has 12 electoral votes. Harris won it by 18.2 points in 2024. - It has not been close recently, so a flip here would signal a broad national shift. ### West Virginia Presidential Election 2028 URL: https://votetide.com/2028/president/west-virginia State: West Virginia. Office: President. Rating: Safe R. Candidates: Democratic nominee (D); Republican nominee (R). - West Virginia has 4 electoral votes. Trump won it by 41.9 points in 2024. - It has not been close recently, so a flip here would signal a broad national shift. ### Wisconsin Presidential Election 2028 URL: https://votetide.com/2028/president/wisconsin State: Wisconsin. Office: President. Rating: Toss-up. Candidates: Democratic nominee (D); Republican nominee (R). - Wisconsin has 10 electoral votes. Trump won it by 0.9 points in 2024. - It is a swing state: both campaigns need it on most paths to 270. ### Wyoming Presidential Election 2028 URL: https://votetide.com/2028/president/wyoming State: Wyoming. Office: President. Rating: Safe R. Candidates: Democratic nominee (D); Republican nominee (R). - Wyoming has 3 electoral votes. Trump won it by 45.8 points in 2024. - It has not been close recently, so a flip here would signal a broad national shift.