VoteTide

New York Governor Election 2026: Live Results

The New York Governor Election 2026 is on November 3, 2026. Kathy Hochul (Democrat, incumbent) faces Republican Bruce Blakeman. The seat is currently held by Democrats. VoteTide rates the race Likely D. Prediction markets give Kathy Hochul a 96% chance of winning. The average of the last 5 polls has Kathy Hochul ahead by 13.2 points. The last polls in New York close at 9 p.m. Eastern.

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Updated Tue, 03 Nov 2026 13:41:42 GMT

Results

No votes have been reported yet. Polls close at 9 p.m. Eastern.

Candidates

  • Kathy Hochul (Democrat, incumbent)
  • Bruce Blakeman (Republican)

Odds

  • Kalshi: Democrat 96%, Republican 4%
  • Polymarket: Democrat 96%, Republican 4%

Rating: Likely D

Latest polls

PollsterDatesHochulBlakeman
Research Co.October 30 – November 1, 202652%43%
Marist UniversityOctober 22–25, 202653%42%
ActiVoteOctober 1–23, 202659%41%
Siena UniversityOctober 19–22, 202654%40%
Quinnipiac UniversityOctober 15–19, 202655%41%
OnMessage Inc. (R)October 1–6, 202650%46%
Beacon Research (D)October 1–6, 202653%31%
Emerson CollegeOctober 3–5, 202652%40%
Marist UniversityOctober 1–4, 202653%42%
co/efficient (R)September 23–25, 202648%41%

What's at stake

For the country

  • Governors don't vote in Congress, but they run elections, carry out federal programs like Medicaid, and often lead their party nationally.
  • A Republican win would be a flip from Democratic control.

For New York

  • The governor signs or vetoes state laws, writes the state budget, runs state agencies, appoints officials and judges in many states, and in many states shapes how district maps are drawn.
  • For New York, the result decides whether the governor's party matches the legislature's, which shapes what can pass in the next four years.
  • Kathy Hochul is the incumbent. Incumbents bring seniority, name recognition and committee roles; challengers argue for a fresh start.

Kathy Hochul

  • Supporters say a Democratic governor would invest in public schools and expand health coverage.
  • They argue for protecting abortion access at the state level and raising wages.

Bruce Blakeman

  • Supporters say a Republican governor would cut state income taxes and limit state spending.
  • They argue for school choice, public-safety funding and fewer business regulations.

Arguments are summarised at party level from each side's stated priorities, not quotes from the candidates.

Frequently asked questions

Who is running in the New York Governor Election 2026?

Kathy Hochul (D, incumbent), Bruce Blakeman (R).

Who is favored to win the New York governor race?

Prediction markets give Kathy Hochul a 96% chance. VoteTide's rating is Likely D.

When do polls close in New York?

On November 3, 2026, the last polls in New York close at 9 p.m. Eastern. The first results usually appear within an hour.

Where do these New York results come from?

Vote counts come from official election sources as they are published (and from the AP when configured). Odds come from Kalshi and Polymarket, and polls from public polling tables. The page refreshes every minute.

New York at a glance

  • 2024 presidential result: Harris +12.6
  • Electoral votes: 28
  • U.S. House seats: 26

Other New York races: House