Alaska Senate Election 2026: Live Results
The Alaska Senate Election 2026 is on November 3, 2026. Mary Peltola (Democrat) faces Republican Dan Sullivan (incumbent). The seat is currently held by Republicans. VoteTide rates the race Lean D. Prediction markets give Mary Peltola a 70% chance of winning. The average of the last 1 polls has Mary Peltola ahead by 5.0 points. The last polls in Alaska close at 1 a.m. Eastern (after midnight).
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Updated Tue, 03 Nov 2026 14:27:08 GMT
Results
No votes have been reported yet. Polls close at 1 a.m. Eastern (after midnight).
Candidates
- Mary Peltola (Democrat)
- Dan Sullivan (Republican, incumbent)
Odds
- Kalshi: Democrat 70%, Republican 31%
- Polymarket: Democrat 71%, Republican 29%
Rating: Lean D
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Peltola | Sullivan |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska Survey Research | March 19–22, 2026 | 46% | 41% |
What's at stake
For the country
- This seat is held by Republicans. A Democratic win would be a flip, one of the 4 net gains Democrats need to reach 51 seats and take control.
- A Republican hold keeps it in the column that protects the current 53-seat majority.
- Senate control decides which judges and cabinet nominees are confirmed and whether the President's bills can pass.
For Alaska
- Senators vote on every federal law, confirm Supreme Court justices, federal judges and cabinet members, and ratify treaties. Terms last six years.
- Dan Sullivan is the incumbent. Incumbents bring seniority, name recognition and committee roles; challengers argue for a fresh start.
Mary Peltola
- Supporters say a Democratic senator would push to lower health-care costs and protect the Affordable Care Act.
- They argue for restoring federal abortion protections and expanding voting access.
- They favour raising taxes on the highest earners and corporations to fund programs.
Dan Sullivan
- Supporters say a Republican senator would keep taxes low and protect recent tax cuts.
- They argue for tighter border security and stricter immigration enforcement.
- They favour expanding domestic energy production and cutting federal regulation.
Arguments are summarised at party level from each side's stated priorities, not quotes from the candidates.
Frequently asked questions
Who is running in the Alaska Senate Election 2026?
Mary Peltola (D), Dan Sullivan (R, incumbent).
Who is favored to win the Alaska senate race?
Prediction markets give Mary Peltola a 70% chance. VoteTide's rating is Lean D.
When do polls close in Alaska?
On November 3, 2026, the last polls in Alaska close at 1 a.m. Eastern (after midnight). The first results usually appear within an hour.
Where do these Alaska results come from?
Vote counts come from official election sources as they are published (and from the AP when configured). Odds come from Kalshi and Polymarket, and polls from public polling tables. The page refreshes every minute.
Alaska at a glance
- 2024 presidential result: Trump +13.1
- Electoral votes: 3
- U.S. House seats: 1