Minnesota Senate Election 2026: Live Results
The Minnesota Senate Election 2026 is on November 3, 2026. Peggy Flanagan (Democrat) faces Republican Michele Tafoya. The seat is currently held by Democrats and is open this year. VoteTide rates the race Likely D. Prediction markets give Peggy Flanagan a 90% chance of winning. The last polls in Minnesota close at 9 p.m. Eastern.
Open the live interactive map →
Updated Tue, 03 Nov 2026 14:27:08 GMT
Results
No votes have been reported yet. Polls close at 9 p.m. Eastern.
Candidates
- Peggy Flanagan (Democrat)
- Michele Tafoya (Republican)
Odds
- Kalshi: Democrat 90%, Republican 10%
- Polymarket: Democrat 91%, Republican 10%
Rating: Likely D
What's at stake
For the country
- This seat is held by Democrats. Losing it would make the path to a majority harder: they would then need 5 flips elsewhere.
- For Republicans it is a pick-up chance that would add a cushion to their majority.
- Senate control decides which judges and cabinet nominees are confirmed and whether the President's bills can pass.
For Minnesota
- Senators vote on every federal law, confirm Supreme Court justices, federal judges and cabinet members, and ratify treaties. Terms last six years.
- It is an open seat, so there is no incumbent advantage this year.
Peggy Flanagan
- Supporters say a Democratic senator would push to lower health-care costs and protect the Affordable Care Act.
- They argue for restoring federal abortion protections and expanding voting access.
- They favour raising taxes on the highest earners and corporations to fund programs.
Michele Tafoya
- Supporters say a Republican senator would keep taxes low and protect recent tax cuts.
- They argue for tighter border security and stricter immigration enforcement.
- They favour expanding domestic energy production and cutting federal regulation.
Arguments are summarised at party level from each side's stated priorities, not quotes from the candidates.
Frequently asked questions
Who is running in the Minnesota Senate Election 2026?
Peggy Flanagan (D), Michele Tafoya (R).
Who is favored to win the Minnesota senate race?
Prediction markets give Peggy Flanagan a 90% chance. VoteTide's rating is Likely D.
When do polls close in Minnesota?
On November 3, 2026, the last polls in Minnesota close at 9 p.m. Eastern. The first results usually appear within an hour.
Where do these Minnesota results come from?
Vote counts come from official election sources as they are published (and from the AP when configured). Odds come from Kalshi and Polymarket, and polls from public polling tables. The page refreshes every minute.
Minnesota at a glance
- 2024 presidential result: Harris +4.2
- Electoral votes: 10
- U.S. House seats: 8