Oklahoma Senate Election 2026: Live Results
The Oklahoma Senate Election 2026 is on November 3, 2026. Jasmine Thomas (Democrat) faces Republican Kevin Hern. The seat is currently held by Republicans and is open this year. VoteTide rates the race Safe R. Prediction markets give Kevin Hern a 98% chance of winning. The last polls in Oklahoma close at 8 p.m. Eastern.
Open the live interactive map →
Updated Tue, 03 Nov 2026 14:27:09 GMT
Results
No votes have been reported yet. Polls close at 8 p.m. Eastern.
Candidates
- Jasmine Thomas (Democrat)
- Kevin Hern (Republican)
Odds
- Kalshi: Democrat 2%, Republican 98%
- Polymarket: Democrat 1%, Republican 99%
Rating: Safe R
What's at stake
For the country
- This seat is held by Republicans. A Democratic win would be a flip, one of the 4 net gains Democrats need to reach 51 seats and take control.
- A Republican hold keeps it in the column that protects the current 53-seat majority.
- Senate control decides which judges and cabinet nominees are confirmed and whether the President's bills can pass.
For Oklahoma
- Senators vote on every federal law, confirm Supreme Court justices, federal judges and cabinet members, and ratify treaties. Terms last six years.
- It is an open seat, so there is no incumbent advantage this year.
Jasmine Thomas
- Supporters say a Democratic senator would push to lower health-care costs and protect the Affordable Care Act.
- They argue for restoring federal abortion protections and expanding voting access.
- They favour raising taxes on the highest earners and corporations to fund programs.
Kevin Hern
- Supporters say a Republican senator would keep taxes low and protect recent tax cuts.
- They argue for tighter border security and stricter immigration enforcement.
- They favour expanding domestic energy production and cutting federal regulation.
Arguments are summarised at party level from each side's stated priorities, not quotes from the candidates.
Frequently asked questions
Who is running in the Oklahoma Senate Election 2026?
Jasmine Thomas (D), Kevin Hern (R).
Who is favored to win the Oklahoma senate race?
Prediction markets give Kevin Hern a 98% chance. VoteTide's rating is Safe R.
When do polls close in Oklahoma?
On November 3, 2026, the last polls in Oklahoma close at 8 p.m. Eastern. The first results usually appear within an hour.
Where do these Oklahoma results come from?
Vote counts come from official election sources as they are published (and from the AP when configured). Odds come from Kalshi and Polymarket, and polls from public polling tables. The page refreshes every minute.
Oklahoma at a glance
- 2024 presidential result: Trump +34.3
- Electoral votes: 7
- U.S. House seats: 5