VoteTide

New Mexico Presidential Election 2028: Live Results

The New Mexico Presidential Election 2028 is on November 7, 2028. Democratic nominee (Democrat) faces Republican Republican nominee. The seat is currently held by Democrats. VoteTide rates the race Likely D. Prediction markets give Democratic nominee a 88% chance of winning.

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Updated Tue, 03 Nov 2026 16:27:52 GMT

Results

No votes have been reported yet.

Candidates

  • Democratic nominee (Democrat)
  • Republican nominee (Republican)

Odds

  • Polymarket: Democrat 88%, Republican 12%

Rating: Likely D

What's at stake

For the country

  • New Mexico has 5 electoral votes. Harris won it by 6.0 points in 2024.
  • It has not been close recently, so a flip here would signal a broad national shift.

For New Mexico

  • The president leads the executive branch, signs or vetoes laws, commands the military, nominates federal judges and sets foreign policy.

Democratic nominee

  • Supporters say a Democratic president would expand health-care access and fight climate change.
  • They argue for protecting abortion rights nationally and strengthening alliances abroad.

Republican nominee

  • Supporters say a Republican president would secure the border and keep taxes low.
  • They argue for boosting domestic energy, cutting regulation and an America-first trade policy.

Arguments are summarised at party level from each side's stated priorities, not quotes from the candidates.

Frequently asked questions

Who is running in the New Mexico Presidential Election 2028?

Democratic nominee (D), Republican nominee (R).

Who is favored to win the New Mexico president race?

Prediction markets give Democratic nominee a 88% chance. VoteTide's rating is Likely D.

Where do these New Mexico results come from?

Vote counts come from official election sources as they are published (and from the AP when configured). Odds come from Kalshi and Polymarket, and polls from public polling tables. The page refreshes every minute.

New Mexico at a glance

  • 2024 presidential result: Harris +6.0
  • Electoral votes: 5
  • U.S. House seats: 3

Other New Mexico races: