Markets and politics
Live prices for stocks, Bitcoin, gold, oil and rates, and how markets have moved around every election, war, crisis and policy shift since 1950. Prices refresh every few minutes during trading.
Today: Nasdaq −4.5%, S&P 500 −3.3%.
Live prices as of Nov 5, 12:18 PM EST, delayed up to 15 minutes.
Market snapshot
Big number is today's move; below it, the change over each period to the latest price. Yields change in percentage points.
- 1 week
- −3.7%
- 1 month
- −4.9%
- Year to date
- +8.6%
- Since 2024 election
- +30.1%
- 1 year
- +9.4%
- 1 week
- −6.1%
- 1 month
- −10.9%
- Year to date
- +5.8%
- Since 2024 election
- +35.2%
- 1 year
- +4.6%
- 1 week
- −0.7%
- 1 month
- +0.9%
- Year to date
- +8.2%
- Since 2024 election
- +24.4%
- 1 year
- +9.9%
- 1 week
- −2.5%
- 1 month
- −11.1%
- Year to date
- −13.3%
- Since 2024 election
- +9.6%
- 1 year
- −26.5%
- 1 week
- +2.5%
- 1 month
- −1.3%
- Year to date
- −4.8%
- Since 2024 election
- +50.5%
- 1 year
- +3.5%
- 1 week
- −14.5%
- 1 month
- −6.3%
- Year to date
- +57.5%
- Since 2024 election
- +25.5%
- 1 year
- +49.3%
- 1 week
- +10.8%
- 1 month
- −2.0%
- Year to date
- −25.8%
- Since 2024 election
- +119.9%
- 1 year
- −15.4%
- 1 week
- −0.15 pts
- 1 month
- −0.44 pts
- Year to date
- +0.65 pts
- Since 2024 election
- +0.52 pts
- 1 year
- +0.66 pts
- 1 week
- +45.0%
- 1 month
- +66.2%
- Year to date
- +66.8%
- Since 2024 election
- +13.5%
- 1 year
- +38.5%
- 1 week
- −0.1%
- 1 month
- +0.6%
- Year to date
- +1.6%
- Since 2024 election
- −2.3%
- 1 year
- −0.1%
Live intraday chart
Real-time candles. Pick a market and a candle size; 5 minutes is the default.
Chart by TradingView. Index charts track the tradable CFD price, which follows the index closely. Tap the symbol name on the chart to look up anything else.
Elections on the chart
Pick a market, a time range and which events to show, going back to 1950 where the data allows. Numbered lines mark each event; the list under the chart shows how far the market has moved since then.
- 1Iran war begins Feb 28, 2026+8.0% since
- 22026 midterms Nov 3, 2026−1.5% since
Data from Jan 1, 1950.
What traders expect next
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?67%
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?2%
- Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?9%
- US recession by end of 2026?5%
- US recession by end of 2027?28%
- Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?11%
Chance of “yes” on Polymarket. Prices are traders' bets, not facts.
Coming up
- Georgia general election runoffDec 1, 2026
- Federal Reserve rate decisionDec 9, 2026
- Louisiana U.S. House runoffsDec 12, 2026
- 120th Congress sworn inJan 3, 2027
- Wisconsin spring primaryFeb 16, 2027
- Wisconsin Supreme Court electionApr 6, 2027
Dates that tend to move markets. Full list on the election calendar.
How stocks did after past elections
The S&P 500 after every federal election day since 1952, measured from the close the day before.
| Election | 1 month | 3 months | 1 year |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 mid | – | – | – |
| 2024 pres | +6.3% | +5.7% | +19.0% |
| 2022 mid | +4.1% | +9.4% | +15.1% |
| 2020 pres | +10.8% | +15.6% | +40.8% |
| 2018 mid | −1.5% | −0.0% | +12.4% |
| 2016 pres | +5.4% | +7.6% | +21.7% |
| 2014 mid | +2.1% | +1.2% | +3.3% |
| 2012 pres | +2.8% | +10.0% | +28.3% |
| 2010 mid | −0.1% | +6.9% | +2.2% |
| 2008 pres | −5.9% | −6.7% | +14.9% |
| 2006 mid | +2.1% | +4.1% | +5.3% |
| 2004 pres | +2.1% | +3.2% | +4.6% |
| 2002 mid | +2.0% | −7.3% | +17.7% |
| 2000 pres | +0.3% | −3.7% | −18.0% |
| 1998 mid | +3.1% | +8.6% | +20.1% |
| 1996 pres | +1.2% | +8.0% | +26.9% |
| 1994 mid | −3.3% | +4.1% | +28.2% |
| 1992 pres | +3.5% | +7.5% | +10.1% |
| 1990 mid | +4.5% | +14.5% | +25.2% |
| 1988 pres | +3.4% | +9.0% | +26.6% |
| 1986 mid | +2.2% | +13.9% | +1.9% |
| 1984 pres | −3.2% | +8.7% | +15.6% |
| 1982 mid | −2.4% | +2.8% | +14.3% |
| 1980 pres | +3.8% | +1.1% | −5.0% |
| 1978 mid | +2.0% | +3.3% | +7.1% |
| 1976 pres | +1.9% | +1.1% | −9.2% |
| 1974 mid | −13.2% | +5.0% | +19.2% |
| 1972 pres | +4.5% | +0.8% | −7.4% |
| 1970 mid | +6.2% | +15.1% | +12.2% |
| 1968 pres | +3.8% | −0.4% | −5.5% |
| 1966 mid | +0.2% | +6.9% | +12.5% |
| 1964 pres | −1.0% | +2.4% | +8.4% |
| 1962 mid | +7.3% | +12.6% | +24.8% |
| 1960 pres | +1.4% | +10.1% | +27.2% |
| 1958 mid | +0.4% | +4.0% | +10.2% |
| 1956 pres | +1.5% | −6.5% | −13.3% |
| 1954 mid | +5.4% | +13.0% | +34.4% |
| 1952 pres | +3.4% | +7.0% | −0.7% |
Data: S&P · Nasdaq · Dow · BTC · Gold · Oil · Nat gas · 10Y yield · VIX · Dollar via FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (S&P Dow Jones Indices, Nasdaq, Coinbase, EIA, Cboe, Federal Reserve), with older S&P 500 and Dow history (weekly) and today's prices from Yahoo Finance (delayed up to 15 minutes; oil, gas and gold use front-month futures). Refreshed every 5 minutes. Past moves don't predict future ones, and none of this is investment advice.