2026 Midterm Elections Live Map
VoteTide tracks every senate, house, governor race of the 2026 midterm elections on November 3, 2026: official vote counts as they are published, prediction-market odds from Kalshi and Polymarket, the latest polls and race ratings. The map refreshes every 30 seconds. Click any state for details, or switch to "My map" to make your own calls and share them.
What's at stake: Senate control
For the country
- Senators vote on every federal law, confirm Supreme Court justices, federal judges and cabinet members, and ratify treaties. Terms last six years.
- Republicans hold 53 seats. Democrats need a net gain of 4 seats for a 51-seat majority, because the Vice President breaks ties for Republicans.
- If Democrats win the Senate, the President's judicial and cabinet nominees would need Democratic votes, and the President's bills could be blocked.
- If Republicans keep the Senate, the President can keep confirming judges and nominees and has a partner for legislation.
- Midterms are usually read as a verdict on the sitting president, and the president's party has lost House seats in most midterms since World War II.
If Democrats win
- Supporters say a Democratic senator would push to lower health-care costs and protect the Affordable Care Act.
- They argue for restoring federal abortion protections and expanding voting access.
- They favour raising taxes on the highest earners and corporations to fund programs.
If Republicans win
- Supporters say a Republican senator would keep taxes low and protect recent tax cuts.
- They argue for tighter border security and stricter immigration enforcement.
- They favour expanding domestic energy production and cutting federal regulation.
Arguments are summarised at party level from each side's stated priorities, not quotes from the candidates.
AlabamaAlaskaArkansasColoradoDelawareFloridaGeorgiaIdahoIllinoisIowaKansasKentuckyLouisianaMaineMassachusettsMichiganMinnesotaMississippiMontanaNebraskaNew HampshireNew JerseyNew MexicoNorth CarolinaOhioOklahomaOregonRhode IslandSouth CarolinaSouth DakotaTennesseeTexasVirginiaWest VirginiaWyoming
What's at stake: House control
For the country
- House members write the federal budget, start every tax bill and hold the power to impeach. Terms last two years.
- If Democrats win the House, they control the federal budget process in that chamber, can launch investigations and subpoena officials, and can block the President's legislation.
- If Republicans keep the House, along with the Senate, the President keeps unified control of Congress for the final two years of the term.
- Midterms are usually read as a verdict on the sitting president, and the president's party has lost House seats in most midterms since World War II.
If Democrats win
- Supporters say a Democratic House would act as a check on the President, with oversight and subpoena power.
- They argue for protecting Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security in budget talks.
If Republicans win
- Supporters say a Republican House would advance the President's agenda without gridlock.
- They argue for spending cuts, lower taxes and tougher immigration enforcement.
Arguments are summarised at party level from each side's stated priorities, not quotes from the candidates.
AlabamaAlaskaArizonaArkansasCaliforniaColoradoConnecticutDelawareFloridaGeorgiaHawaiiIdahoIllinoisIndianaIowaKansasKentuckyLouisianaMaineMarylandMassachusettsMichiganMinnesotaMississippiMissouriMontanaNebraskaNevadaNew HampshireNew JerseyNew MexicoNew YorkNorth CarolinaNorth DakotaOhioOklahomaOregonPennsylvaniaRhode IslandSouth CarolinaSouth DakotaTennesseeTexasUtahVermontVirginiaWashingtonWest VirginiaWisconsinWyoming
What each side warns about
Beyond the policy debate, both parties tell voters the other side has a long-term plan to lock in power. Here are the biggest of those claims, each with who said it and a source, and what the record shows where it is relevant. Listing a claim is not an endorsement.
What Democrats say about Republicans
Presidential power
A second Trump term would carry out Project 2025, the Heritage Foundation's 900-page plan to expand presidential power and reshape the federal government.
Kamala Harris, Joe Biden and the Democratic campaign. Throughout the 2024 campaign. Source: NPR
What the record shows: During the campaign Trump said he had "nothing to do with Project 2025." In office he named its co-author Russ Vought budget director and rolled out many policies it proposed, including steps to dismantle the Education Department, restructure the federal workforce and freeze some domestic funding. Several were blocked or challenged in court. The White House says it is carrying out the agenda voters chose.
NPR (Jan 2026) Democracy
Asked whether Trump is a fascist, she said he is, and that he is unfit to serve.
“Yes, I do”
Kamala Harris, Vice President. CNN town hall in Pennsylvania, October 23, 2024. Source: AP via News4Jax
What the record shows: Democrats point to Trump telling Christian voters in July 2024 that "you won't have to vote anymore" (his campaign said he meant unity), and to his March 2025 remark that he is "not joking" about a third term, which the 22nd Amendment forbids. Elections have continued on schedule.
Snopes · Al Jazeera (third term) Redistricting
Trump's push for Texas to redraw its map mid-decade was a scheme to rig the 2026 midterms and keep the House.
“This scheme to rig the maps”
Hakeem Jeffries, House Democratic leader, and Rep. Suzan DelBene, DCCC chair. July 2025. Source: AP via ClickOrlando
What the record shows: Trump publicly asked Texas for five more Republican seats, and Texas Republicans passed a new map in 2025. Redrawing mid-decade is legal in most states. California Democrats answered with Prop 50, aimed at five Democratic seats, so both parties have drawn partisan maps for 2026.
Wikipedia: 2025 California Proposition 50 Social Security
Trump intends to cut Social Security.
“Donald Trump intends to cut Social Security.”
Kamala Harris. Rally in Atlanta, July 30, 2024 (Joe Biden made the same claim). Source: PolitiFact
What the record shows: Trump has pledged that "not a single penny" will be cut from Social Security. In March 2024 he talked about "cutting" entitlements and quickly walked it back, and his first-term budgets proposed cuts only to disability and SSI programs, which Congress did not pass. PolitiFact rated the claim Mostly False.
PolitiFact Who runs elections
Trump is trying to take control of how states run elections, which the Constitution leaves to the states.
“usurps the States' constitutional power and seeks to amend election law by fiat”
Democratic state attorneys general. Lawsuit against Trump's March 25, 2025 executive order on elections. Source: AP via ABC7
What the record shows: The order required documents proving citizenship to register for federal elections and told states to count only mail ballots that arrive by Election Day, tying federal grants to that deadline. Federal judges blocked key parts of it in 2025. The White House says the order protects the integrity of elections.
AP via ABC7
What Republicans say about Democrats
Democracy
If Democrats won, the 2024 election would be the last real one, because they would take away free speech, gun rights and the right to vote effectively.
“If they don't, this will be the last election. That's my prediction.”
Elon Musk, Trump supporter and later White House adviser. Trump rally in Butler, Pennsylvania, October 5, 2024. Source: CNN
What the record shows: Republicans won the 2024 election, so the prediction was not tested. Elections have continued on schedule since, including the November 2025 state elections and the 2026 midterms.
Wikipedia: 2025 California Proposition 50 Immigration and voting
Democrats let large numbers of migrants into the country on purpose, to turn them into voters and keep power for good.
“a giant voter importation scam”
Elon Musk. Post on X, February 2, 2024, and CPAC speech, February 20, 2025. Source: PolitiFact
What the record shows: Only citizens may vote in federal elections, and noncitizen voting is a crime. Immigrants usually hold a green card for about five years before they can become citizens, and those who entered illegally face higher hurdles. Georgia's Republican secretary of state audited 8.2 million registered voters in 2024 and found 20 noncitizens. The Biden administration removed, returned or expelled more than 4.5 million people from 2021 to 2024. PolitiFact rated the claim False (2024) and Pants on Fire (2025).
PolitiFact (2024) · Georgia audit (States Newsroom) Courts and the Senate
Democrats would end the Senate filibuster, add seats to the Supreme Court and make D.C. and Puerto Rico states, so they could dominate politics for decades.
“these Country Destroying Sleazebags will dominate politics in America”
Donald Trump, President. White House breakfast for GOP senators, November 5, 2025, and Truth Social, April 2026. Source: TheGrio
What the record shows: These are real proposals that some Democrats support. The Democratic House passed D.C. statehood bills in 2020 and 2021, and a 2021 bill from some Democrats would have expanded the Court to 13 justices; neither became law. Statehood would likely add four Senate seats that lean Democratic. Any of these steps needs Congress and the President. In the same November 2025 remarks, Trump urged Republicans to end the filibuster themselves.
Mediaite (Nov 2025 remarks) Election integrity
Democrats rigged the 2020 presidential election through voter fraud.
Donald Trump. Repeatedly since November 2020. Source: AP via KSL
What the record shows: Trump's own Attorney General, William Barr, said in December 2020 that the Justice Department had found no fraud on a scale that could have changed the outcome.
AP via KSL Redistricting
California's Proposition 50, which redrew the state's House map to favor Democrats, was an unconstitutional scam and the vote was rigged.
“The Unconstitutional Redistricting Vote in California is a GIANT SCAM”
Donald Trump. Truth Social, November 2025. Source: WJBC
What the record shows: Prop 50 is a partisan redraw: California Democrats wrote it in direct response to Texas Republicans redrawing their map, and voters approved it in November 2025. No evidence of a rigged vote was offered; officials reported only a small number of isolated ballot problems.
Wikipedia: 2025 California Proposition 50
Each side gets the same number of claims and the same format. Quotes use only words the linked source quotes. Share this list.
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